When primary debates really matter (and when they don't) | Analysis by ForecasterEnten
The first debates of the 2020 Democratic primary season are nearly upon us. Over the course of two nights on Wednesday and Thursday, 20 candidates will hope for a breakout moment.
Sometimes a candidate hitting the right key at the right moment can turn a debate into a game changer. But a look at recent history suggests that key debate moments may not move the polls and when they do, said movements may only be temporary.Rick Perry Oops You may recall that one of the biggest debate blunders in recent years occurred when then Texas Gov. Rick Perry couldn't remember the third federal agency he wanted to cut.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio had a 3-2-1 strategy: come in third in Iowa, second in New Hampshire and first in South Carolina. Rubio did come in third in Iowa and looked to be heading towards a second place in New Hampshire. That was until he met New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie in a debate three days before New Hampshire voted. In a tangle between the two, Christie noted that Rubio would repeat lines.
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