Experts are puzzled by Kiev’s incursion deep into Russian territory, which hosts a nuclear power plant and a gas transit point to Europe.
This handout photograph released by the Kursk Region Governor Alexei Smirnov in his Telegram channel shows damages in the town of Sudzha, which hosts the country's last gas transit station. Photo: AFPdeep into Russia ’s Kursk region has opened a new front in the more than two-year-long conflict and left Moscow stunned by to the ferocity of the incursion.
Experts think that Ukraine aims to distract Russian focus on other fronts, where Moscow’s forces have recently made some significant advances, boosting the morale of its troops.“It is probably a ‘spoiling attack’ or a diversionary tactic aimed at drawing Russian units and resources away from more vital sectors of the front,” says Edward Erickson, a former American military officer and a retired professor of Military History from the Department of War Studies at the Marine Corps University.
The warfront is so large, and “such breakthroughs are possible from time to time” because Russia cannot guard every centimetre of its border, adding that such small forces can not achieve real and sustainable success, according to Gasanov. But with the Kursk advance, Kiev might also pursue “a political motive - to try to capture part of the territory, then exchange it for those that Russia took,” Gasanov tellsIn terms of information war, the Kursk incursion may also be an attempt to distract the attention of global media “from Ukrainian defeats on other fronts” in a show of sheer force to the West that Kiev deserves to receive “further supplies of Western weapons,” says Gasanov.
Ukraine’s newly appointed Commander-in-Chief Olexsandr Syrksky, tasked with defeating the mighty Russian army, could try to show that he is up to the job. In order to keep his post, “he needs to win a small victorious war,” says Gasanov.
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