The $14.2 million Circa survivor pool contest is down to just over 200 entries, and this week appears to be primed for the Broncos to get picked.
Mike Palm, the vice president of operations at the Circa, didn’t do much counting the past two weeks regarding remaining survivor pool entries because the favorites have won most NFL games.
Last year, four people split $9.2 million after finishing with a 20–0 record. The Circa has separate weeks for the Thanksgiving and Christmas Day schedules. Many of the contestants who remain alive in the survivor pool haven’t used the Kansas City Chiefs because Palm said many are waiting to use the Chiefs for when they play the Las Vegas Raiders at home on Nov. 29—the Black Friday game counts for the Thanksgiving schedule.
From a survivor pool standpoint, the Broncos make plenty of sense, but they’re a risky pick against the spread as a team that tends to struggle with producing touchdowns. Then again, Denver dropped 33 points against the New Orleans Saints last week and recorded 34 points vs. Las Vegas in Week 5. As for games with smaller spreads, Palm mentioned that the Washington Commanders as +3 home underdogs vs. the Chicago Bears could be enticing to many sharp bettors, even with the possibility of Daniels not playing due to a rib injury. If Daniels plays, Commanders’ supporters would be in a good spot with the extra points.
“Most of the sharp people have taken three with the Rams, taking the points, or waiting to see if more Minnesota money will come in before kickoff to see if they can get a -3.5,” Palm says. “This is more of a public vs. pro game, where the public looks at the Vikings, 5–1, barely losing the one game. And the Rams even struggled to beat the Raiders, there are rumors out there about trades. The public is on the Vikings and the pros on the Rams.
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