US Open 2023 Men's Semifinals odds, picks, and predictions for Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev.
When these two met on grass, Alcaraz was a modest 3.5-game favorite. Now, Alcaraz lacked experience on grass, but so did Medvedev. Medvedev had looked much worse on grass than Alcaraz in his limited number of matches on the surface, and it was clear the self-proclaimed hardcourt specialist was out of his element.
So, getting 5.5 games here? It’s a delight. Medvedev’s loss to Alcaraz on grass was excusable, as was his loss on the hardcourts at Indian Wells which are so slow, they play like clay. Medvedev should be able to put forth his best performance yet against Alcaraz, and I think he’s played some exceptional tennis in the lead-up to this match. I was particularly impressed with his ability to erase a deficit against Alex De Minaur and an early break against Andrey Rublev, looking the part of a tournament favorite.
Medvedev can win this match, and he can win this tournament. He is a master strategist, and it’s unlikely the same tactics which have lifted Alcaraz to victory in the past will work quite as well on a hardcourt where the Russian is so comfortable, he won his first career grand slam.
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