Ukraine Is in Worse Shape than You Think

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Ukraine Is in Worse Shape than You Think
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Column: Ukraine is in worse shape than you think

Jayanti is an Eastern Europe energy policy expert. She served for ten years as a U.S. diplomat, including as the Energy Chief at the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv, Ukraine , and as international energy counsel at the U.S. Department of Commerce . She is currently the Managing Director of Eney, a U.S.-Ukrainian decarbonization company.

We love an underdog. We love a plucky little guy who beats the odds. It fuels hope for our ordinary selves and allows us to feel we are on the morally superior side. This is whyhas appealed so successfully to the world. His defiance against the odds gave us someone to root for against a bully.

It is worth remembering that Ukraine has been fighting a Russian invasion since 2014. Between 2014 and February 2022, almostwere killed in the simmering war in the Donbas, but little or no military progress was made. Now, Ukraine is fighting with that same army in an expanded theater against a bigger opposing force.

Nonetheless, Russia now controls significantly more Ukrainian territory than before February 24. Putin’s army holds Kherson, whatever is left of Mariupol, all the intervening territory, and now not only Luhansk and Donetsk but the entire Donbas Oblast. For example, whereas Ukrainian authorities controlled approximately

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