A former champion -- with experience against Jones -- and a betting analyst weigh in on the UFC 309 main event and more.
. The highly anticipated main event at UFC 309 is one of 13 fights that will take place at Madison Square Garden in New York City on Saturday night .Miocic, the most decorated heavyweight in the promotion's history, returns to the Octagon for the first time since 2021. In his last fight, he was dethroned via a knockout loss to Ngannou.-- who fought Jones at UFC 145 in 2012 -- to get his perspective on the heavyweight title clash.
Miocic will have to use a different kind of punch, not straight punches. He can land some straight punches, but the biggest success against a guy like Jones is landing hooks. Jones does a good job of posting out with his hand, almost like a Heisman Trophy pose, but he has a harder time dealing with hooks. My best success against Jones was landing hooks. Miocic will have to get into that midrange, land some hooks, and look to land from inside the clinch position.
UFC heavyweight champion Jon Jones puts his title on the line against Stipe Miocic in the main event, while Charles Oliveira takes on Michael Chandler in the co-main event.On the flip side, Miocic will have to make him feel his power. When I look back at the fights Jones had trouble in, he got caught with a shot that made him say,"Whoa." Miocic will need to hit him and make him say"whoa" because if he doesn't, Jones will walk him down the entire fight.
Craig has poor striking and relies solely on his jiu-jitsu. He will pull guard, hoping his opponent will follow him to the ground, but anyone with a decent fight IQ will stand back up just to knock Craig down again. Although Nickal is an elite wrestler, we have started to see the power in his hands, so it shouldn't surprise anyone if he gets the knockout early. Look for this fight to go less than 1.5 rounds.
To my surprise, Weidman is currently the betting underdog, and I think there is tremendous value there. Anders has power but slows down tremendously as the fight goes, and if he can't control the wrestling -- which against Weidman, he will not be able to -- he tends to not have a backup plan. Look for Weidman to dictate the pace and striking early on, and once he catches Anders slowing down, he will transition to his wrestling and take over.
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