The temperatures in Texas will be sweltering, and both the UCF and TCU defenses can cause mayhem with the best of them.
Look for both teams to try and grind out methodical drives on offense rather than go for home runs, leading to a low-scoring game.
UCF ran the ball 57 times for a staggering 384 yards in their win over Sam Houston State, but 27 of those carries went for five yards or less. They have tended to be boom-or-bust in the ground game, and theThe Horned Frogs have a Havoc rate of 22.5% and a stuff rate of 23%. They employ an aggressive style of defense and show blitz quite often, even if they only bring four. And they’ve allowed just 414 yards combined to Stanford and Long Island University.
Hoover’s average depth of target is just over seven yards downfield, with many of his throws coming via crossing routes. While UCF has allowed a fair amount of explosive plays in the passing game, they’ve also created Havoc at a high rate and have forced two turnovers in each win. This will be an entertaining contest, but one that fails to reach 63 points. Take the Under and enjoy the show. Hoover has thrown a pair of touchdowns in each of TCU’s two games this season. UCF gave up two scoring passes to Sam Houston — albeit to different quarterbacks — and will be the focal point of their offense here.
The total has seen less change, sitting at its opening number after briefly dropping to 61.5 earlier in the week.
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