I invite you to imagine the punditry had President Biden ceded 40 percent to Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson—or even 10 percent.
Another Republican primary is in the books, and it looks much like every other contest we’ve seen so far. Media organizations projected that Donald Trump would win South Carolina within seconds of polls closing on Saturday, and Trump delivered his victory speech just minutes after that. Aside from the genuine treat of watching Trump supportersAnd as with every other contest, what says about Trump’s strength heading towards November depends entirely on the framing.
Looked at one way, Trump made history, becoming the first non-incumbent Republican candidate to sweep the first four early states, with comfortable victories in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina. His vote share in each contest never dipped below 50 percent. Among self-identified Republicans in these contests—who make up the bulk of, uh, Republican primary voters—Trump leaves no room for his competition.
Trump’s weaknesses in the exit polls will ring familiar. Haley won independents, those who aren’t evangelical Christians, college graduates, first-time voters, moderates, non-gun owners, and those who oppose a national abortion ban. Among the third of the primary electorate who do not think Trump would be fit for the presidency if convicted of a crime, Haley won 87 percent. This is too much of a moderate, white-collar coalition for Haley to win a Republican primary in the era of Trump.
The Gretchen Whitmer Kidnap Plot Became a Political Lightning Rod. Then Two Reporters Got Hours of Secret FBI Tapes.The Biggest Supreme Court Case That Nobody Seems to Be Talking About The intra-party pressure on Haley to drop out has been loud for a month, and will only get louder. She’sher criticisms of Trump as the campaign has gone on, to Democrats’ delight. California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom has cheekilyBy staying in this long and taking it to Trump harder by the day, Haley credibly debunked the theory that she’s only angling for a vice presidential bid.
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