Whether the Seahawks retain Geno Smith or not comes down to the answer to one simple question.
That’s certainly not a trend that would appear to be moving in the right direction, which leads to the question of what kind of defensive performance can be expected of the Seahawks in 2023. That’s a question that is difficult to answer, given how likely it is for there to be a significant number of new names and faces in the unit, particularly in the front seven.
However, regardless of the performance one expects from the Seattle defense this season, the reality is that whether or not the Seahawks defense can perform at a level that allows to the team to compete with Smith on a contract that pays him $32M or $35M per year is not as relevant to the discussion of whether to sign Geno to such a deal.
What is important is whether or not Pete Carroll believes he can assemble a defense that can perform at a level that allows the team to be competitive while paying Smith. And the answer to that question - in spite the fact that the Seahawks have failed to field a top ten scoring defense for six straight season - undoubtedly has to be ‘yes’. There is no world in which Carroll does not see himself as able to assemble and lead a defensive group that performs at or near the top of the league.
Thus, stripping away all the noise and boiling the situation down to the core, the only relevant question when it comes to whether the Seahawks believe they can be competitive while paying Geno Smith market rate is whether Carroll believes he can coach up a top tier defense.
Because regardless of whether or not fans and observers think the Seahawks can field a top flight defense, Pete Carroll most certainly does, and his is the only opinion that matters.
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