The Mark Kelly vs. Blake Masters Senate race in Arizona now a toss-up, polls say

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The Mark Kelly vs. Blake Masters Senate race in Arizona now a toss-up, polls say
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Arizona's U.S. Senate race is seen as a toss-up as the election draws closer, imperiling Democrats' chances of holding onto the Senate.

Constantin Querard, a Republican campaign consultant not involved in the Senate race, said the recent developments suggest a bigger problem for Democrats.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the UVA's nonpartisan political analysis newsletter, still rates the race as leans Democratic, which it’s been since they shifted it from toss-up at the end of August. "I think if Masters pulls it out, it’s just going to be because the Republicans this year have that much of a national tide going in their favor," Coleman said.

In Arizona, the tightening seems more due to “general attitudes about things is skewing more pro-Republican, pro-Masters as a result.” Sabato said he expects Republicans to take over the House, but sees the makeup of the Senate as still up in the air. Gonzales of Inside Elections said the Arizona Senate race will test whether there’s a limit to how far money can go in fending off"a political wave.”

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