A prominent computer scientist, often called the “Godfather of AI,” has publicly accused Elon Musk of consistently misleading the public about Tesla’s Full Self Driving (FSD) capabilities for the past eight years. The claim stems from Musk's repeated promises that Tesla vehicles would be capable of operating as robotaxis within a year, statements dating back to 2016.
I’ve seen this claim countless times, and I understand where it’s coming from, but I don’t believe it. I normally brush past it, but given that a top computer scientist known as the “Godfather of AI” just said it, and also given the enormous controversy and confusion around Elon Musk these days , I feel compelled to finally address it — and also address how the fundamental issues may relate to a lot of other important things.
Musk himself has said that he’s just overly optimistic, especially with timelines. Others close to him, like his brother Kimbal, have said the same. I think this is part of it, but only part of it. The fact that I have come to see this as only part of it is potentially an important point. However, he’s actually got a varied track regard with the timing of things. His long-term forecasts for Tesla production and sales from the early 2010s, and even before that, were almost spot on looking at what the company achieved in 2020. There were some bad short-term forecasts within that timeframe, but the long-term forecast was crazy good.
As we’ve seen him tweet about a variety of other matters in recent years, we’ve seen a similar kind of obsession with a few different matters. In 2022,, “I’m thinking of creating a ‘Super Moderate Super PAC’ that supports candidates with centrist views from all parties.” Anyone who follows his tweets these days should laugh out loud at the idea that Musk would support “moderate” politicians.
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