Speculative Retail Bets Are Pushing Leverage to Dangerous Levels

Nasdaq 100 News

Speculative Retail Bets Are Pushing Leverage to Dangerous Levels
S&P 500NVIDIA CorporationGamestop Corp
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Stocks Analysis by Lance Roberts covering: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, NVIDIA Corporation, GameStop Corp. Read Lance Roberts's latest article on Investing.com

Financial markets often move in cycles where enthusiasm drives prices higher, sometimes far beyond what fundamentals justify. As discussed in last week’sThese two powerful forces support the amplification of gains during upswings but can accelerate losses in downturns. Today’s market environment shows growing signs of these behaviors, particularly in options trading and leveraged single-stock ETFs.

Notably, confidence and the desire to increase leverage and speculation in the markets are represented in current valuations. One sign of leverage and speculation we are watching are options. Options provide a leveraged way to bet on stock movements, requiring relatively little capital for potentially outsized returns. In November, US stock options volume hit nearly 70 million contracts on average per day; that is the second-highest on record, and trading activity has DOUBLED over the last two years.

Such instruments are inherently risky, especially in volatile market conditions. Their popularity reflects an increasing appetite for speculative investments, often at the expense of prudent, long-term decision-making. Second, the widespread use of leveraged products amplifies market volatility. Options trading and leveraged ETFs can cause rapid price swings, especially when market sentiment shifts. For example, a sharp decline in Nvidia’s stock could force a cascade of selling in instruments like NVDL, exacerbating broader market declines.

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