Mexico is facing a second Donald Trump presidency, and few countries can match its experience as a target of Trump’s rhetoric: There have been threats to close the border, impose tariffs and even send U.S. forces to fight Mexican drug cartels if the country doesn’t do more to stem the flow of migrants and drugs.
FILE - Mexico ’s President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador , left, and President Donald Trump hold a joint news conference at the White House in Washington, July 8, 2020. FILE - Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum , left, and Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard attend a news conference at the National Palace in Mexico City, Oct. 15, 2024. FILE - President Donald Trump signs a new North American trade agreement with Canada and Mexico , at the White House in Washington, Jan. 29, 2020.
“Claudia is more ideological than López Obrador, and so the problem is that I see her potentially responding to Trumpian policies, whether it’s, you know, organized crime or immigration or tariffs with a much more nationalistic, jingoistic view of the relationship,” said Arturo Sarukhan, Mexico’s former ambassador to the U.S. from 2007 to 2013.
Sarukhan said he believes the fact that Sheinbaum is a woman and is from Mexico will be “a very important challenge, an issue out there as both of them get going in their relationship.”Sheinbaum has suggested Mexico won’t give in even if backed into a corner, saying “we obviously are going to address any problems that come up with dialogue, as a collaborative process, and if not, we are going to stand up, we are prepared to do that with great unity.
Today, Ebrard is Mexico’s economy secretary, and would lead Mexico’s delegation in the scheduled 2026 review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement, something that Trump has greeted with mirth “I am optimistic. Unlike other countries, we are the largest trading partner , so, if you put up a tariff, that will have repercussions in the United States,” Ebrard said.
“Mexico is looking at it through the lens of economic logic. The logic that the Trump campaign applies on immigration is a logic of national security and cultural identity issues,” Bárcena said.
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