Expert analysis of Pebble Beach Pro-Am matchup bets, highlighting favorable picks like Morikawa, Cantlay and Day based on their past performances and course history.
This year's AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am promises to be a thrilling event as some of the best golfers on the PGA Tour take to the iconic course. With no football to distract us this week, we can fully immerse ourselves in the tournament and place a few bets. In this article, I'll be analyzing some matchup bets that I find particularly enticing. These wagers are straightforward: they involve betting on one golfer to finish with a better tournament score compared to their opponent in the matchup.
If you read my betting preview, you know that Morikawa is my pick to win this week's event. However, if you prefer a more conservative approach to backing the two-time major champion or want to double down on him, like I am, I believe this matchup bet presents an excellent opportunity. McIlroy, while a generational talent when it comes to driving the golf ball, doesn't have a significant advantage in that area at Pebble Beach. What truly matters is a strong iron game, and this has been an inconsistent area for him lately. He gained a meager +0.27 true strokes with his approach play at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic earlier this month and even lost strokes with his irons at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship in November. His T66 finish here last year and a missed cut in 2018 demonstrate that Pebble Beach isn't the best course fit for the Northern Irishman. Meanwhile, Morikawa should thrive in this ball striker's paradise. His precision with his irons and improved short game give me confidence in backing him at -105 against the No. 3-ranked golfer in the world.While I don't see a significant edge in this matchup, I do favor Patrick Cantlay at even money over Justin Thomas. Cantlay has quietly compiled a string of consistently strong performances, not finishing outside the top 20 since finishing T25 at last year's British Open. He also boasts a strong history at Pebble Beach, with finishes of T11, T3, T4, and T11 in his last four starts. Although I anticipate a successful rebound season for JT, his inconsistency on the greens concerns me, especially in a week where hitting greens and sinking putts are crucial for success. Few golfers have matched Jason Day's consistent success at Pebble Beach over the past decade. Since 2015, he has finished outside the top 11 just once. During this period, he has achieved five top-five finishes, including a T6 result last year. Sometimes, it's best to bet on someone who has proven their ability to excel at a specific course, and I see nothing in Sam Burns's profile to suggest he can overcome Day this week. Burns is coming off a rather average T29 finish at the American Express.
GOLF PGA TOUR PEBBLE BEACH PRO-AM MATCHUP BETS MORIKAWA CANTLAY DAY BETTING TIPS
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