Opinion: Brexit will cause untold harm to Britain’s minority communities
Demonstrators carry flags of the European Union and Britain outside Parliament in London on Thursday. By Kimberly McIntosh April 11 at 2:22 PM Kimberly McIntosh is senior policy officer at the social policy think tank Race on the Agenda.
Leaving the E.U. without a deal — which would mean Britain would transition to less favorable World Trade Organization rules — is projected to have a long-term negative impact on the British economy. The government’s own analysis projects that the economy would shrink by 6.3 percent to 9 percent after around 15 years in a no-deal scenario.
These harmful impacts could carry over even if the government evades a no-deal scenario, but still pursues a “hard” Brexit. The Institute of Fiscal Studies has projected that a hard Brexit would leave workers in jobs on production lines or operating machinery at high risk of job cuts. Pakistani and Bangladeshi men are twice as likely to work in these industries, and much more likely to be living in poverty.
Finally, Brexit has also unearthed that ethnic divisions go beyond inequality. What was once unsaid in polite society is now public discourse, with mainstream politicians engaging with Islamophobic rhetoric and shameless association with far-right figures. The worst ever rise in recorded hate crime followed the Brexit vote in 2016.
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