MLB predictions, picks, and odds for New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers on 4-19. MLB best bets and free picks.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has lived up to the advanced billing for the Dodgers, at least vs. opponents not named the Padres. Find out why our MLB betting picks are backing him vs. the Mets tonight.
First, his underlying statistics indicate that he’s been unlucky to accrue an unseemly 4.50 ERA. Both his 3.35 xERA and 3.14 FIP indicate better days are ahead. He generates a ton of strikeouts and limits free passes , which is a good sign that his dominance in Japan will translate to effective pitching in the States.
With a greater workload comes a greater chance of generating strikeouts. Yamamoto has a strong 12.4% swinging strike rate and is punching out 11.8 batters per nine innings, so the potential for some high K outings are certainly there. It seems as though the books have artificially decreased his strikeout prop on Friday without fully accounting for the fact that he’s now fully ramped up and has posted elite punchout numbers thus far.
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