Get New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs predictions, picks, and odds for 6-23, plus MLB best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
Javier Assad has been good for the Cubs this season but all signs point to him coming back down to Earth on Sunday. Find out why in our Mets vs. Cubs SNB betting picks below.
Assad has the highest strikeout numbers he’d had throughout his career if the season ended today, but it’s hard to figure out why. Accompanying that is the lowest swing and whiff rate of his career. Something that doesn’t add up, and usually, there's some course correction when that happens. I expect at least some regression today and am taking him Under 4.5 strikeouts as my best bet. The value is highly enticing.
However, that pitch may be less successful today. The Mets have many strong sinker hitters, with J.D. Martinez, Harrison Bader, and Tyrone Taylor leading the way, all slugging well above the league average against that pitch. If Assad is forced to get off that pitch, some metrics suggest his time in the game could be short as the rest of his arsenal is relatively lackluster. Thus, there’s certainly a fair chance that Assad is run from the game too quickly to hit this mark.
The total has taken some Over steam as well. It’s moved up a half run since opening and was taking just over 60% of bets as of publication.
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