The Mets have the better lineup, but the Cardinals are consistently an above-average lineup that’s trending upward, posting a 110 wRC+ over the past month.
, as it took some of the pressure off guys like Tylor Megill, Christian Scott, Jose Quintana and … Sean Manaea.
Manaea — Monday’s starting pitcher for the Mets — has been a regular fade candidate of mine this year. He continues to lose juice on his sinker-sweeper combination, leading to fewer ground balls , fewer strikeouts and more walks . His 3.50 ERA looks fine, but it’s buoyed by a low BABIP and high strand rate — he should pitch closer to his 4.30 expected ERA as the season progresses.
Conversely, Andre Pallante — Monday’s starting pitcher for the Cardinals — should see some positive regression down the stretch, pairing a 4.04 ERA with a 3.56 expected ERA.I prefer the Cardinals starting pitcher in this matchup. I also prefer their bullpen — behind Ryan Helsley and JoJo Romero, St.
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