William Nylander has been tearing up the Lightning, and with Tampa providing an advantageous line matchup, Covers_josh likes the Leafs sniper to keep piling on the aggression tonight. Find the bet here ⤵️
The Leafs closed as a -200 home favorite in Game 2 after opening at -160. The movement was based on the injuries to the Tampa blue line as Erik Cernak and Victor Hedman both sat — making a thin defense even more vulnerable.
As for tonight, Tampa head coach Jon Cooper has said Hedman will be a game-time decision again. He did make the morning skate, but Cernak looks more doubtful as he didn’t make the skate and is dealing with a head injury. Toronto opened at -115, so the market has moved towards the visitors, and if Hedman were to sit, the Leafs would get shorter. So if you want the Bolts, likely waiting is the best move to get a longer price, and if you want the Leafs, the earlier the better.
The biggest edge Toronto has in this series is with its power play thanks to the injuries on the Tampa defense. Cernak led the team in penalty-kill time-on-ice/game during the regular season, while Hedman was on the PK around 30% of the time. Toronto took advantage of those absences in Game 2 by going 2-for-6 on the power play and 4-for-10 in the series.
In a game that's projected to be tight after a pair of blowouts, this could easily be the difference tonight. Both teams should get more power-play opportunities, as eight of the series’ 19 goals have been with the man advantage. PP goals are up 50% in the playoffs, compared to the regular season, and opportunities are up 21%.has been a much better goalie at home, but the power-play opportunities should be a concern and cut into his ability to steal the game. Through five games vs.
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