Amanda Ribas got the best of Mackenzie Dern in their first matchup, and we expect the rematch to follow a similar pattern when these two strawweights step into the octagon in Vegas.
This isn't the most thrilling fight for MMA fans to start 2025 with, but it presents great betting value between a pair of Top-10 strawweights.These fighters faced off near the start of their UFC careers back in 2019 with Amanda Ribas winning by unanimous decision. While both fighters have made improvements since then, I haven't seen enough to indicate that we'll get a different result this time around.
Ribas will be able to keep this fight standing, where she has a significant advantage in striking in terms of power, accuracy, and volume. Ribas lands 4.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.40. Dern leaves herself open in striking exchange but she's only been finished once in her career, while Ribas has just a single knockdown in 11 UFC fights. Ribas will use her superior kickboxing to pick apart Dern, but she won't be able to force a stoppage.Affiliate Disclosure
With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds.
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