J.P. Morgan on Friday more halved its previous estimate on U.S. economic growth ...
FILE PHOTO: People pass by the New York Stock Exchange in the financial district in the lower Manhattan borough of New York City, U.S. June 2, 2016. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
NEW YORK - J.P. Morgan on Friday more halved its previous estimate on U.S. economic growth in second quarter to 1.00% following data that showed a fall in durable goods orders in April. The bank now sees it as basically a coin toss for the Federal Reserve to raise or cut interest rates, compared with its previous call for just a rate increase.
“We had previously expected the next move from the Fed would be a hike, albeit at the very end of our forecast horizon in late 2020,” J.P. Morgan economist Michael Feroli wrote in a research note. “We now see the risks of the next move as about evenly distributed between a hike and a cut.”
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