Most rivals have some variation of ‘when Biden fails’ written into their campaign plans
Biden’s rivals, many of whom have long expected the former vice president to fade, began making comparisons to another Clinton campaign — her failed run in 2008 — last week, after a Biden adviser told reporters that that while Iowa is “critical” and the campaign expects to carry the state, it is not a must-win.
Many moderates entered the race on a singular bet that “Biden can’t survive,” said a top Democratic strategist who advised several presidential contenders before they announced their candidacies. With the exception of the two top-polling progressives, nearly every candidate has some variation of “when Biden fails” written into their campaign plans, premising much of their appeal as a palatable alternative.
Pete Kavanaugh, Biden’s deputy campaign manager and point person in the early nominating states, said last week that the campaign was not trying to lower expectations in Iowa but that, with any number of paths to the nomination, “I honestly don’t think any single state is an absolute must-win.” And again, in June, Hickenlooper's campaign conducted several focus groups in Iowa after Hickenlooper made waves with a California speech warning Democrats against flirting with socialism. Iowa voters, surveyed by the Hickenlooper campaign, "really, really liked" what the governor had to say, but they wouldn't budge from Biden.
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