In a recent study, researchers have assessed the potential risk of mass shootings in each state and at specific locations such as schools and restaurants. Mass shootings in the United States seem unpredictable, with tragic events occurring sporadically year after year. However, a recent study from
Researchers used statistical methods to calculate the annual probability of mass shootings in each state and at specific public venues. Their method offers insights into mass shooting risks, aiding security officials in emergency planning.
For their analysis, Iowa State associate professor Cameron MacKenzie and his doctoral student Xue Lei applied statistical methods and computer simulations to a database of mass shootings recorded from 1966 to 2020 by the Violence Project. The Violence Project defines a mass shooting as an incident with four or more victims killed by a firearm in a public place. According to the Violence Project, the U.S.
Importantly, MacKenzie points out that the probability of a mass shooting at a specific location depends on the definition of a mass shooting. In contrast to the Violence Project, the Gun Violence Archive defines a mass shooting as four or more individuals shot, injured, or killedin any location, not necessarily a public location. As a result, The Gun Violence Archive has collected data on shootings that occur in both public and private locations as well as targeted shootings .
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