Is Guatemala About to See an Upset Win for Democracy?

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Is Guatemala About to See an Upset Win for Democracy?
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The government’s attempts to influence the election have brought an unexpected opportunity for a candidate with a particular connection to the country’s history.

and an implacable government critic, was arrested and later arraigned on money-laundering charges that he denied; a judge has sentenced him with up to six years in prison. At the center of these arrests is the Public Ministry—Guatemala’s version of the Department of Justice—headed by María Consuelo Porras. She and her main deputy appear on a list of state and private actors who are sanctioned by the U.S. government for corruption and undermining democracy.

In disqualifying some candidates, the government did two inadvertent things: it helped clear the field and it alienated the public across the political spectrum. Around forty per cent of the country didn’t vote in the first round, and almost a quarter of the ballots cast were blank or voided. Many voters reacted against traditional candidates, while those supporting the “officialist” line split their support among several options.

Once the results were in, Semilla became the primary target of the government. The Constitutional Court, which is widely seen as a political ally of the current administration and its backers, ordered a highly unusual review of the ballots. By mid-July, however, the electoral tribunal had demonstrated a measure of independence and confirmed the first-round results. Then Consuelo Porras’s deputy, who is in charge of the office that Sandoval ran, announced that he was investigating Semilla.

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