Lake has effectively frozen a field of potential GOP candidates, as they await her decision on one of the most closely watched races in the country
. She broke that news at a Scottsdale rally she held Thursday night, with hundreds in attendance, as all eyes in Arizona and Washington are on the MAGA darling who boasts a loyal following that sees her as the torchbearer of a populist crusade.
“She’s going to be like the Donald Trump of the GOP primary,” Mike Noble, chief researcher at the independent Phoenix-based polling group Noble Predictive Insights, tells TIME. “It’s just really hard to get around that 40 or so percent of support. She’s still beatable, but it’s tough. It’s super tough. Hence, why a lot of the field is frozen.”Lake’s deliberations come ahead of one of the most highly anticipated Senate races of next year. Sen.
Smith insists her flirtation with a Senate bid is not a ploy. “In all our talks, it’s looking extremely, extremely likely,” he says. “I wouldn’t say 100%. But I really do think 99% is a very fair number.” With the clock ticking, some Arizona political veterans are bracing for the possibility that Lake could run without a serious challenger. “That’s a depressing likelihood,” Steve May, a former member of the Arizona House who has a declared antipathy to Trump-affiliated pols, tells TIME. “I don’t know what polling Lamon and others are seeing. But I don’t know what the path is for someone to beat her.
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