Although threat assessment is difficult, over the years, the Secret Service protocols have thwarted countless incidents.
The president walked toward a podium at the National Rifle Association conference last week and noticed something flying through the air and landing on the other side of the stage.
Outbursts at presidential events can be expected -- few can forget the 2008 incident in Iraq in which a member of the Iraqi press threw his shoes at President George W. Bush, who deftly dodged each shoe -- and as the 2020 campaign ramps up, candidates can expect this type of behavior to become more pronounced.
In fact, the majority of threats come from the cyber world, which makes tracking, tracing and determining intent more difficult and time consuming. Often when the president is out very publicly touting a policy issue, on the campaign trail or making statements viewed by some as controversial, the threats increase. As they disappear into the world of a 24/7 news cycle and other stories take the lead, the threats tends to diminish.Under U.S. law, a threat against the president and his or her successor is a federal felony.
Some"threats," perhaps like at the NRA conference, may erupt when alcohol and immaturity meet and, after an interview and investigation, can be determined to lack the"willfulness" part of the law. Although this provides a roadmap, the studies also signaled a warning:"Assessments of targeted violence pose a significant challenge to law enforcement, mental health, and other professionals. Nevertheless, those who engage in behavior or communication of concern must be assessed."
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