California and New York are fertile political ground.
Turning 18 means you’ve become an adult. For House Democrats in 2024, the number likely means winning the majority after two years in the political wilderness.
There’s a crowded Democratic rival seeking the right to challenge Schweikert, with several already hammering the congressman over his admitted ethical lapses. The most prominent Democrat is Andrei Cherny, who has the distinction of being the youngest White House speechwriter in history. Cherny was 21 and straight out of Harvard University when he was hired by President Bill Clinton's administration.
Now, Democratic primary rivals in the 1st Congressional District include state Rep. Amish Shah, an emergency room and sports medicine doctor at the Mayo Clinic in Phoenix. There’s Scottsdale orthodontist Andrew Horne and Kurt Kroemer, who recently stepped down after seven years as CEO of Red Cross in Arizona.Democrat Kirsten Engel is seeking a rematch against freshman Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani in this southeastern Arizona and eastern Tucson-area district.
Still, Murtado would have a big factor in her favor. Because state Senate districts in California are so enormous — there are only 40 senators compared to the 52 House members the Golden State sends to Washington — Hurtado already represents 96% of the 22nd Congressional District. But she and Salas have reputations as relative centrists, having bucked Democratic legislative leaders in Sacramento on some water and environmental issues, among others.
In 2020, Biden would have beaten Trump in the 40th Congressional District 49.9% to 48.0%. However, Republicans have the advantage in the district, with nearly 38% registered voters compared to Democrats’ 33.6% and the 22.6% who list no party preference. Democrats may be hurting themselves in this swing district by coalescing around a doyenne of New Jersey’s hard Left, activist Sue Altman. She leads the state’s liberal-leaning Working Families Alliance and is an ally of Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy.
LaLota could be a redistricting target, as previous versions of this district have toggled between the parties over the past three decades. Or state Democrats could choose to go after Republican incumbents in already politically more dicey House districts, which would be easier to dismantle.Long lines are forming to challenge Santos, both by fellow Republicans and would-be Democratic rivals.
Still, Democrats see Lawler as effectively renting the seat for two years because in 2020, Biden would have beaten Trump there 54.5% to 44.4%. And former Rep. Mondaire Jones is seeking to return to Congress by running there after representing a neighboring House district in 2021-23. Molinaro’s vanquished 2022 Democratic rival, attorney and former congressional aide Josh Riley, is running again. His campaign, like other New York Democrats, will need strong turnout in the presidential race to help push him over the top.This Syracuse and Utica-area district has pockets of both blue and red allegiances. Freshman Rep. Brandon Williams capitalized on Republicans’ good 2022 fortunes in New York to claim this seat, running up the score in rural areas outside of its midsized cities.
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