Possibly tracking our first hurricane of the year
Today is hot and humid with highs in the mid-90s and a heat index temperature ranging from 106° - 108°. Our heat advisory has shifted west today. There is also the possibility of more storms forming late this afternoon and evening.The area of storms in the Caribbean remain disorganized. It’s combating dry air and lots of land in front of it that inhibit tropical development. It has a low, 20% chance of development this weekend. No major impact to southeast Texas is expected.
More concerning to me is the tropical wave in the Atlantic Ocean. This has a 70% chance to become a tropical storm and could also become our first hurricane of the year. This wave is moving toward the Caribbean Sea in the middle of next week. It is too early to say if this will move into the Gulf of Mexico but it is possible. The long range models have this following a track similar to Alberto and the current tropical disturbance in the Caribbean. But this is not a guarantee.
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