The Heat have overcome the odds each step of the way in these NBA Playoffs.
Firstly, the situational spot.
The Nuggets are 8-0 with a +13.1 Net Rating at home during this playoff run, and I guarantee the elevation is part of that. Per Joe Dellera of The Action Network, “non-first round playoff games where one team has had a week or more off, and the opponent has just 1-3 days off, those teams are 17-5 against the spread.”
Not to mention that history is against Miami. Per Evan Abrams of The Action Network, Game 1 favorites in the NBA Finals are 16-2 straight up and 15-3 against the spread since 2005.NBAE via Getty ImagesMeanwhile, the Heat have one competent big-man defender in Bam Adebayo, who struggled mightily against Jokic in regular-season meetings. Technically, the Heat didn’t have the horses to stop Boston’s deadly wing duo.
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