Voters are polled in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Former President Donald Trump, the 2024 Republican presidential nominee, and Vice President Kamala Harris, the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee, appear in AP file photos., when Trump, the Republican nominee, led President Joe Biden by three points overall, and was ahead or tied in every one of the seven swing states.
When asked: “Regardless of who you will vote for, who do you believe will win,” 45% said Trump and 41% chose Harris.— Immigration is Trump’s strongest issue; Harris has a large advantage on the abortion issue.— Undecided and third-party voters dislike Trump’s style but are more inflation-conscious than the overall electorate.
— Trump being seen as erratic and out of control is a bigger liability than his criminal convictions or age; it’s also a bigger liability than Harris’ experience and gravitas.Harris’ success in closing the gap is driven by her consolidation of the Democratic base, and increased support among independent voters.
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