Gold: This Drop Could Be a Bear Trap - How to Play the Potential Bounce Higher

XAU/USD News

Gold: This Drop Could Be a Bear Trap - How to Play the Potential Bounce Higher
Gold FuturesUS Dollar Index
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Commodities Analysis by Fawad Razaqzada covering: XAU/USD, Gold Futures, US Dollar Index. Read Fawad Razaqzada's latest article on Investing.com

Gold's recent record highs were followed by a sharp decline, raising concerns about a peak.Key economic events this week will be crucial in determining gold's future direction.'s recent performance has caught the attention of many investors. The precious metal hit a record high last week but then plunged to close lower.

However, as highlighted in the chart, gold has exhibited similar bearish weekly price actions several times since Q4 2023. In most cases, there has been only modest downside follow-through, with some candles completely engulfed by the next week's price action, indicating no real control by the bears.On the daily timeframe, gold has reached potential support between $2385 and $2400, where prior resistance meets the 21-day exponential moving average .

In terms of potential resistance, the $2450 level is crucial as gold peaked there in May and failed to hold above it last week. For gold, signs of persistent inflation are not necessarily bad, as investors often turn to gold to hedge against rising prices. If inflation is weaker than expected, gold may benefit from a corresponding drop in the US dollar. Thus, inflation data is unlikely to threaten gold's bullish trend.Gold's recent drop may appear concerning, but historical patterns suggest it could be another bear trap.

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