Gold Price Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD closes in on key support on China slowdown fears

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Gold Price Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD closes in on key support on China slowdown fears
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Gold price failed to build on previous Friday’s gains and started the week on a bearish note. Disappointing data releases from China in the first half

of the week dragged XAU/USD to its lowest level in almost a month, and the pair struggled to regain traction despite softer-than-expected inflation data from the US. Next week, investors will pay close attention to Retail Sales data from China and the US ahead of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July policy meeting.Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman triggered a rebound in US Treasury bond yields and caused Gold price to turn south on Monday.

The Consumer Price Index in China declined 0.3% on a yearly basis in July, data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China showed on Wednesday. With this reading highlighting the poor consumer activity, XAU/USD continued to push lower midweek and dropped below $1,920 for the first time in nearly a month.

On Thursday, data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index , edged higher to 3.2% on a yearly basis in July from 3% in June. This print came in slightly below the marketof 3.3%. On a monthly basis, the CPI and the Core CPI – which strips volatile food and energy prices – both increased 0.2%, matching June readings and analysts’ estimates. The initial market reaction caused the US Dollar to lose strength.

In the absence of high-tier data releases in the second half of the week, the US Department of Labor’s weekly Initial Jobless Claims data could trigger a short-lasting reaction in XAU/USD. In the week ending August 5, the number of first time applications for unemployment benefits rose by 21,000 to 248,000. A similar increase could highlight loosening conditions in the US labor market and weigh on the USD.

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