Colin Rea has been coasting along and posting some decent results, but the advanced metrics suggest the powerful Dodgers lineup will crush the Brewers hurler tonight.
The Los Angeles Dodgers head into Tuesday night as winners of four straight and on top of the National League. That comes off a 5-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers in the opening game of a four-game road set, pushing the Dodgers 2.5 games above the Brew Crew in the chase for the NL's No. 1 seed.
Rea's expected ERA is 19th percentile, and his expected batting average is 16th percentile. His fastball velocity is bad , and he gets hit hard to boot. There is nothing special about Rea, and his overpricing in the market is egregious at this point. He also doesn't have the greatest track record against these batters, generating just a 15.6% strikeout rate against them while allowing a .273 batting average.The aforementioned low strikeout rate Rea has posted against this roster combined with the quality hitting as of late by the Dodgers means Los Angeles should be able to chase Rea out of the game before he hits his strikeout prop of 4.5.
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