Compound and cascading catastrophes, like two hurricanes striking within days, are becoming more common. Does this mean we have crossed the first climate tipping point, an irreversible shift in Earth’s natural systems, asks GrahamLawton
, heat and wildfire conditions in 2019 and 2020. In New Zealand, the destruction wrought by Cyclone Gabrielle last month was compounded by further heavy rainfall a few days later. In 2021, parts of Louisiana in the US were hit by two hurricanes, Ida and Nicholas, in the space of just over two weeks. The list goes on.Compound and cascading disasters aren’t new, of course.
Such disasters “are the new normal”, said Susan Cutter at the University of South Carolina in her keynote address to aon the topic. The report that followed described the “new normal” in stark terms, stating that “most disasters do not occur as isolated events and instead seem to pile on one another, disaster after disaster, often unleashing new devastation on a community before it has had a chance to recover”.
reported that back-to-back hurricanes – hitting within 15 days in the same place – are getting more common on the east coast and Gulf coast of the US. What used to be a once-a-century event will happen once every two years or so by the end of this century.
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