Colin Allred is a credible challenger who will benefit from nationwide progressive loathing for the Republican, who is not popular at home
Morning Consult survey
, his approval-to-disapproval ratio in Texas is a meh 46-45. But he will at least initially be favored to win a third term because he’s running on a Republican ticket in a presidential year; a year, moreover, when partisan polarization is likely to make ticket splitting difficult. The last Democratic presidential candidate to carry Texas was Jimmy Carter in 1976.
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