A month ago, the Chicago convention felt like it was going to be an Irish wake. Now, as Democrats gather for their first in-person convention since 2016, it feels like an epic party.
The DNC this week will be an exuberant celebration of a party united and energized, leading in the polls and holding the most valuable thing any campaign can have—momentum.Vice President Kamala Harris will take the stage on Thursday night having defied all the rules of politics and gravity. Over the last month, she reversed the death spiral of polling that showed Democrats up and down the ballot headed to almost certain defeat and now has the lead nationally and in key battleground states.
But a look back at the last two election cycles should sober up Democrats as they leave Chicago after four days of partying.The last time Democrats gathered in person for a convention, Hillary Clinton left the convention in Philadelphia with an even bigger polling lead than Harris' today. That lead continued to grow into the fall, and two weeks before Election Day, Clinton was up by an average 7 percent over Trump. And every Democrat remembers how that turned out.
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