COMMENTARY: While the pandemic is in a different phase than it was in 2020, to call it “over” displays a level of optimism that doesn't quite mesh with facts.
A purple hexagon marks a patient's room as positive for COVID-19 in the emergency department on Jan. 12, 2022, at Loretto Hospital in Chicago.last month. “The pandemic is over. … We still have a problem with COVID. We’re still doing a lot of work on it. But the pandemic is over. If you notice, no one’s wearing masks. Everybody seems to be in pretty good shape, and so, I think it’s changing.”
Leaving aside for a moment whether the pandemic is indeed over, a breakdown of that statement reveals some truth — the pandemic is changing — and some fiction — not everyone is in pretty good shape, and there are some problematic consequences. And whether to wear masks? That is a complicated question.While the pandemic is in a different phase than it was two-and-a-half years ago, to call it “over” displays a level of optimism that intrudes on certain facts. The U.S.
There is another alarming factor to consider: overall excess deaths from all causes. In other words, how many people died in excess of the number who would have died in a typical year? This metric continues to rise, not only in the U.S. but in most European and Asian countries. The expected pattern following most pandemics is for excess deaths in a region to fall, presumably because the sickest people died during the pandemic, but this is not what is happening now.
Whatever the causes, the abundance of excess deaths has not shown signs of going away, and American life expectancy continues to decline, a reversal of a century-old pattern. Equally disturbing are the consequences of long COVID-19, the health problems patients experience for months after contracting COVID-19. These difficulties can occur even after a trivial COVID-19 infection.
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