Our Clemson vs. SMU predictions expect the Clemson Tigers to win the ACC Championship.
Money has pushed the SMU Mustangs to 2.5-point favorites, but the turnover battle will lead the Clemson Tigers to victory.Dabo Swinney should have started every sentence with those three words this week, thanking the team that upset Miami and pushed the Clemson Tigers into the ACC championship game.
Two simple rhetorical questions can send any discussion of the ACC championship game into an endless spiral: Who is the best team, the Mustangs’ best win is over No. 18 Louisville, while the Tigers’ best win is over No. 26 Virginia Tech. Beyond those decent victories, the next most impressive triumphs are SMU’s over No. 36 TCU and Clemson’s over No. 47 Pittsburgh.
The Tigers won the turnover battle by one last week. Not that notable, but if not for that fluke pick, it would have been by two. As is, Clemson is +14 on turnovers this year. Klubnik has protected the ball this season, throwing just five interceptions on 402 pass attempts. That is enough found value in the plus-money beauty of the Tigers’ moneyline, and it does not even delve into the big-play necessities of the Mustangs’ offense — something Clemson likely will limit thanks to the No. 27 defensive success rate in the country, If SMU is turning over the ball, Clemson will gladly take advantage as best it knows how. The Tigers throw the ball 5% more often than the average team would in a given game state. That is a credit to Klubnik.
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