Chevron's $50 billion deal for Anadarko creates a leading Permian powerhouse by chrishelman
Analyst Jarand Rystad of Rystad Energy calls Anadarko’s position the “sweetest spot” of the western portion of the Permian. He expects the combined company to emerge as the clear leader in production growth, boosting its Permian output from 500,000 barrels per day to nearly 1.6 million per day in 2025.
The past 10 years of the fracking revolution has seen oil flows from the Permian, long thought to be a worn-out field past its prime, surge from less than 1 million barrels per day,now. After years of optimizing the drilling and fracking of Permian oil wells, investments in the region are now seen as relatively low risk — breaking even at an oil price of around $45/bbl. Anadarko also brings access copious pipeline assets that can support fast production growth.
The deal is the biggest in the oil industry since Royal Dutch Shell bought BG for $53 billion in 2015. In addition to the Permian assets, Chevron also adds 400,000 acres in Colorado, deepwater fields in the Gulf of Mexico and a liquefied natural gas megaproject in Mozambique set to begin construction. Courtesy Chevron
Chevron will pay $65 per Anadarko share , financing the deal with $8 billion in cash on hand plus the issuance of 200 million shares. Adding Chevron’s 3 million barrels per day of oil and gas production to Anadarko’s 600,000, the combined company will trail only ExxonMobil among publicly traded oil giants . Combined 2018 pro forma free cash flow was $36.5 billion. Analyst Roy Martin of WoodMackenzie says “Chevron now joins the ranks of the ultramajors — and the big three becomes the big four.
The deal is a big move for Chevron CEO Mike Wirth, and a keen exit for Anadarko CEO Al Walker, who owns about $20 million worth of shares at the deal price. Integration of the companies will be headed by Chevron EVP. According to analysts, the price discounts roughly $60 oil . Expect more consolidation of American oil companies, notes Credit Suisse analyst Bill Featherstone.
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