Our early leans and Broncos vs Saints predictions are bullish on Denver and the Over.
The Saints are hurting on both sides of the ball, but our early NFL picks still expect these teams to clear the modest total. However, the Broncos may be the better pick against the spread as slight 1.5-point underdogs.The 3-3 Denver Broncos head to The Big Easy to take on the 2-4 New Orleans Saints at the Caesars Superdome for a Thursday Night Football showdown to kick-start Week 7.
Turning to that Denver defense, the Broncos are allowing the fourth-lowest EPA per play and third-fewest yards per play while also ranking fourth in defensive DVOA and fourth in defense grade perI also value Broncos head coach Sean Payton sporting a 53-36-2 record against the spread as an underdog, while Saints head coach Dennis Allen is just 9-17-1 ATS as a favorite.
The Saints have surrendered the second-most yards per play, and they’re allowing the eighth-highest EPA per play and highest EPA per rush during their four-game losing skid. For comparison, New Orleans ranked second-lowest in both metrics through the first two weeks. Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.
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