Kodai Senga has more or less been effective in his first season with the Mets, but he's pitching on short rest for just the second time this season. With rain in the forecast, is the juice worth the squeeze on the Under of his outs prop?
Senga's control issues combined with his short rest could turn tonight's start into an inefficient one vs. a Milwaukee offense that sees a lot of pitches and draws a lot of walks. I like today's +125 ML price in this pitching matchup more than I did last night's +120 ML as Julio Teheran was pitching well above his peripherals and the Mets got to him.
Miley might be lucky with a near-82% strand rate and a .233 BABIP but the walks are down, the home runs are under control, and batters are hitting just .139 vs. him over the last 28 days. I like the Brewers more today because of the pitching matchup at +125 than yesterday when they were +120.
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