Brent to stay rangebound until recession is apparent or a catalyst pushes markets higher – Rabobank Oil Brent OPEC Banks
Economists at Rabobank see little reason for Oil markets to break either way until the macro fears are alleviated or a recession kicks off.“Brent saw recent strength up to $78/bbl from positive demand data, but we are not ready to make a full bullish call in the short term until the wider macro mess is resolved. Another bank failure could send Brent to retest the key $70/bbl mark, and financial contagion would push prices into the $65-$70/bbl range.
“Right now, we see OPEC+ staying the course and continuing the April cuts of 1.6m bpd. The surprise April cut boosted prices by $5-$7 for about three weeks. A second cut would display their fears more openly and indicates greater weakness; we construe a second cut as a bearish signal unless the cuts are extremely substantive.” Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties.
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