Breakingviews - Fiscal “black hole” obsession adds to UK problems

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Breakingviews - Fiscal “black hole” obsession adds to UK problems
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The UK government is set to tighten the public finances by about 50 billion pounds, equivalent to 2% of GDP. Yet the case for such a large package is based on dubious logic, writes pierrebri

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak holds a press conference after meeting with U.S. President Joe Biden and a phone call to Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on November 16, 2022 in Nusa Dua, Indonesia. Leon Neal/Pool via REUTERS

at the end of June. That’s 15.5 percentage points more than the European Union average, but still less than similar economies such as France, Italy and Spain.Sunak also needs to repair the damage caused by his predecessor’s happy-go-lucky approach to public finances. Though interest rates are rising around the globe, about half of the increase in Britain’s borrowing costs since August is self-inflicted, the Resolution Foundation.

Finally, the plan’s impact hinges on the balance between lower spending and higher taxes. Though Sunak’s Conservative party dislikes taxes, raising them makes more economic sense. The United Kingdom’s tax burden is currently 37% of GDP, against 46% for the EU. Moreover, cutting public investment or services like health and education would translate into lower growth over the medium term.

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