MLB odds, predictions, and picks for Atlanta Braves at [New York Mets on August 13. MLB free pick for Braves-Mets.
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 total bases We're talking the total with an extra half run to lead off things in our same-game parlay this evening before pairing it with two of the best hitters riding hot streaks.
The first player is Mets 1B Alonso and his Over 1.5 total bases prop. There are few better hitters to target when facing a pitcher with barrel and hard-hit rate issues. For another season, Alonso leads the Mets in barrel rate and is near baseball's best in that metric. So, it's a natural strength vs. Chirinos' chief weakness. We'll happily take the Polar Bear to do something he's done in six of the last 10 games.and the Over on 1.5 total bases.
"Give their pitchers a lot of credit, but it's going to make it hard to be competitive in those games against that quality of team unless we figure out a way to score some runs," Mets manager Buck Showalter said. That sums things up for the Mets over the last week. They are second-to-last in the league in BABIP over the previous few weeks and last in the league in runs scored per game over the last three. Contrast that to playing the best baseball offense over most of the season, and things get simple. While I expect the Mets to have some success in the run-scoring department, it may not be enough.One pitcher on the mound has been quite bad this season and is likely to get worse before he gets better.
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