Atlanta is an underdog tonight but our Braves vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks don't think the road team is in trouble.
While the Braves are underdogs in part due to the pitching matchup, Atlanta matches up well vs. Brewers righty Colin Rea, who has outperformed his metrics most of the season...except for the last time he faced Austin Riley & Co.
MLB odds have Milwaukee as a slight -126 favorite, while the total sits at 8.5. My Braves vs. Brewers prediction is optimistic on the underdog, primarily due to the pitching matchup., who is a prime regression candidate. Despite posting a 3.60 ERA through 20 appearances this season, Rea possesses a 4.88 xERA and ranks in the 26th percentile or lower in xBA, average exit velocity, strikeout rate, and hard-hit rate., a team that shelled Rea in the last meeting.
If we are backing the Braves to win in a high-scoring affair, then a highly correlated outcome would be forto record at least one hit in the process. He is 1-for-2 in his career against Rea with a homer and has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his past 16 games.Milwaukee opened as a -126 favorite and remains at that price at the time of writing.The total opened and remains at 8.5.
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