Bernanke: Fed has ample clout to fight downturn if toolkit used properly

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Bernanke: Fed has ample clout to fight downturn if toolkit used properly
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The U.S. Federal Reserve still has enough clout to fight a future downturn, but ...

SAN DIEGO - The U.S. Federal Reserve still has enough clout to fight a future downturn, but policymakers should state in advance the mix of policies and policy promises they plan to use to get the most bang for their buck, former Fed chief Ben Bernanke said on Saturday.

Citing new research of his own and others at the Fed and elsewhere, Bernanke said the bondbuying programs known as “quantitative easing” were effective in lowering long-term interest rates even after the Fed’s target policy rate had been cut to zero. Several rounds of QE were rolled out in response to the deep 2007-2009 financial crisis and recession, and Bernanke said bondbuying should be made a permanent part of the U.S. central bank’s toolkit.

“The room available for conventional rate cuts is much smaller than in the past,” Bernanke said, but “the new policy tools are effective.”The current low level of interest rates has led many to conclude that central banks will be hobbled when a downturn occurs. The Fed’s current policy rate, for example, is in a range of between 1.50% and 1.75%, compared to more typical levels of around 3.50% in the past.

Bernanke’s conclusions about the effectiveness of QE are not new - nor are they universally accepted, with some arguing the purchases of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities did little to boost the real economy, particularly beyond the initial round of buying in the immediate aftermath of the crisis.

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