Australia's referendum failure could lead to more divisive politics, analysts say

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Australia's referendum failure could lead to more divisive politics, analysts say
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Australia's decision to deny constitutional recognition to its First Peoples could herald a more divisive 'Trump-style' politics at the next national election, while pushing the prime minister to pivot to cost of living issues, some analysts said.

'Yes' campaigners drive past voters lining up at a polling booth during The Voice referendum in Queanbeyan, Australia, October 14, 2023. REUTERS/Tracey NearmySYDNEY, Oct 15 - Australia's decision to deny constitutional recognition to its First Peoples could herald a more divisive "Trump-style" politics at the next national election, while pushing the prime minister to pivot to cost of living issues, some analysts said.

For Albanese, the referendum loss would be "a personal as well as a political blow – he's very committed to equity for First Nations peoples", said Chris Wallace, a specialist in political history and leadership at the University of Canberra. Dutton had opposed the referendum to cement his political position, and showed himself to be "an effective, even superior campaigner", said Mark Kenny, a professor at the Australian National University.

Elected in 1996, Albanese saw the failure of the 1999 referendum for Australia to become a republic. Despite that experience as a lawmaker "he squandered it, misreading the mood spectacularly," Kenny said.the Liberal party at last year's election, switching to so-called Teal independent candidates in key inner city seats, and installing a Labor government for the first time in nine years.

On Sunday, Nationals lawmaker Bridget McKenzie criticised "Yes" voters as "very privileged, highly educated Australians in wealthy suburbs".

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