Analysis: Selection Sunday has arrived, and the state of play doesn’t look too much different from a week ago.
Penn State did more than enough to play its way in. Utah State solidified its positioning. Arizona State might have snuck in.
Pittsburgh could have really avoided some heartburn if it had either beaten Notre Dame earlier this month or simply not gotten run out of the Greensboro Coliseum by Duke in the ACC quarterfinals. A more respectable 12-point loss would have helped the Panthers’ metrics, but it’s hard to see a team with a 7-5 road record near the edge of the field get left out. They’re probably heading to Dayton, though.
North Carolina earned one Quadrant 1 victory, and its best argument is that it had a winning record in ACC play and its second-best argument is that it didn’t suffer any bad losses. Both are true, and neither is good enough.Vanderbilt was the most interesting non-Penn State team this week, and its results-based metrics should have it in the conversation. But it also has two Quadrant 3 losses and a Quadrant 4 setback, and its NET of 81 would be unusually low for an at-large pick.
That leaves Oklahoma State and Arizona State. The Cowboys went 6-12 in Quadrant 1 games, rank in the top 50 in all six team sheet metrics and suffered only one questionable loss . The 18-15 record isn’t anything special, but the Cowboys were a solid enough 7-10 away from Stillwater.
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