The reality of the primary system is that, even when reshuffled, it is not a great way to pick a nominee
Save time by listening to our audio articles as you multitaskActivists have supported a reshuffling of the primary calendar for some time. They claim that letting Iowa and New Hampshire, which votes second, go before more diverse states gives white voters more power. This is accurate; New Hampshire and Iowa are the fourth- and fifth-whitest states in the country.
among certain demographic groups and donors. Because South Carolina previously voted fourth, a candidate who polled well with black voters could be confident they would do well later, even if they lagged in Iowa and New Hampshire. Such a path is precisely the one Mr Biden followed last time around. Bill Clinton also staged a similarly “surprising” comeback in the 1992 election. In fact, aside from John Kerry’s ill-fated presidential bid in 2004, every eventual Democratic presidential nominee has won the Palmetto-state primary. The Democrats moving South Carolina from fourth to first position is thus unlikely to change who wins its next presidential nomination. But it may speed up the process.
The bigger news in the Democrats’ rules change thus is the state that has made the biggest jump in the queue: Georgia.in 2020 were slated to vote 32nd, long after they might have played a decisive role in the selection process. Next year, Georgia will go fourth. Since Georgia also has a high share of black Americans—higher even than South Carolina—adding it to the slate of early states will tilt the group’s racial composition heavily away from white voters.
. It hands veto power to a group of voters who tend to be more ideologically extreme than the electorate as a whole. The Democratic Party has been arguing over which state should go first in selecting its presidential candidates for decades. It may be worth considering an alternative mode of election. Look abroad and it will see many alternatives.
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