The most significant predictor of voting today has become the level of education a voter has attained.
The 2024 election is going to come down to swing voters in six or seven swing states. As they always are, the results are going to be extremely tight. A combination of factors will determine the election—especially whether it's Joe Biden or Donald Trump who can get more voters to the polls who do not support either candidate; as well as the role third-party candidates play in draining away votes that would likely would have gone to President Biden.
The president's policies are actually in sync with most of these views, especially when it comes to health care, the importance of which cannot be overstated. It is ironic that over the course of 10 years, Obamacare has gone from an issue that Republicans successfully used to undermine Democratic candidates to an immensely popular program. Trump, who made trying to repeal Obamacare his first order of business as president, is certainly vulnerable on the issue.
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